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Concepts and interpretation

Indicator glossary

Concise definitions, calculation methods, and guidance for interpreting each series.

Glossary coverage

26

Indicators

Every active indicator has a definition, calculation method, interpretation note, and official source.

Banco Central do Brasil - SGS 432

Selic target rate

View series

Brazil's benchmark interest-rate target, set by Copom to guide monetary policy.

How it is calculated

Copom sets the annual percentage rate, which remains in force until the next decision.

How to interpret

Higher targets tend to make credit costlier and restrain inflation; lower targets tend to stimulate activity.

Official source

Banco Central do Brasil - SGS 11

Effective Selic rate

View series

Average rate effectively used in one-day financing backed by federal government securities.

How it is calculated

An adjusted, volume-weighted average of eligible transactions registered in the Selic system.

How to interpret

It shows the daily interbank cost of money and usually stays close to the Selic target.

Official source

Banco Central do Brasil - SGS 433 / IBGE

IPCA inflation

View series

Brazil's official inflation index and the reference for the inflation-targeting system.

How it is calculated

It combines price changes for goods and services weighted by household consumption measured by IBGE.

How to interpret

A positive value indicates monthly inflation; a negative value indicates deflation.

Official source

Banco Central do Brasil - SGS 13522 / IBGE

12-month IPCA inflation

View series

IPCA inflation accumulated over the 12 months ending in each month.

How it is calculated

It compounds the 12 monthly changes multiplicatively rather than simply adding them.

How to interpret

This is the most common annual reading for comparing current inflation with the target.

Official source

Banco Central do Brasil - SGS 1

USD/BRL exchange rate

View series

US dollar exchange rate expressed in Brazilian reais per dollar.

How it is calculated

The daily series consolidates the selling rate published by the Central Bank for the free market.

How to interpret

An increase means real depreciation; a decrease means appreciation.

Official source

Banco Central do Brasil - SGS 12

CDI rate

View series

Brazilian rate on very short-term interbank loans, used as a benchmark for fixed-income investments.

How it is calculated

It is calculated from one-day interbank deposit transactions.

How to interpret

It is a benchmark for fixed-income investments and usually tracks the effective Selic rate.

Official source

B3 via Ipeadata - GM366_IBVSP366

Ibovespa index

View series

Brazil's main benchmark for the average performance of its most traded and representative stocks.

How it is calculated

It is a total-return index based on a theoretical portfolio of eligible assets periodically reviewed by B3.

How to interpret

A rise means the theoretical portfolio appreciated; a decline means it depreciated. It does not represent every listed stock.

Official source

IBGE/SIDRA - agregado 1737, variável 63

Monthly IPCA - SIDRA

View series

Monthly IPCA change queried directly from IBGE/SIDRA.

How it is calculated

It follows the official IPCA methodology, weighting prices by household consumption.

How to interpret

It provides a second official source for checking monthly inflation.

Official source

IBGE/SIDRA - agregado 1736, variável 44

Monthly INPC

View series

Price change for lower-income households, with greater weight on essential items.

How it is calculated

It measures a basket consumed by households earning one to five minimum wages.

How to interpret

It helps track living costs for families more exposed to food, transport, and housing.

Official source

IBGE/SIDRA - agregado 8888, variável 11602

Industrial production

View series

Change in industrial physical output from the same month a year earlier.

How it is calculated

It compares monthly output volume with the same month of the prior year using the Monthly Industrial Survey.

How to interpret

Positive values indicate year-on-year expansion; negative values indicate contraction.

Official source

IBGE/SIDRA - agregado 8880, variável 11709

Retail sales

View series

Change in retail sales volume from the same month a year earlier.

How it is calculated

It deflates nominal revenue and compares sales volume with the same month of the prior year.

How to interpret

It shows year-on-year expansion or contraction in retail consumption.

Official source

IBGE/SIDRA - agregado 5906, variável 11624

Services volume

View series

Change in total services volume from the same month a year earlier.

How it is calculated

It deflates nominal service revenue and makes a year-on-year comparison.

How to interpret

Positive values indicate sector growth; negative values indicate contraction.

Official source

IBGE/PNAD Contínua - SIDRA 4099

Unemployment rate

View series

Share of the labor force without work that actively sought a job.

How it is calculated

It divides unemployed people by the labor force aged 14 or older and multiplies by 100.

How to interpret

Higher rates indicate weaker labor absorption; lower rates indicate a stronger job market.

Official source

IBGE/SIDRA - agregado 5932, variável 6561

Quarterly GDP

View series

Change in final goods and services produced in the country at market prices.

How it is calculated

It compares quarterly GDP with the same quarter a year earlier.

How to interpret

A positive value indicates expansion in that comparison; a negative value indicates contraction.

Official source

Ipeadata - PNADS_GINI

Income Gini index

View series

Household per-capita income inequality indicator on a 0-to-100 scale.

How it is calculated

It compares the observed income distribution with perfect equality.

How to interpret

Closer to zero means less inequality; closer to 100 means greater concentration.

Official source

Ipeadata - PNADS_RENDAMEDIA

Household income per capita

View series

Average household income per person, considering all income sources.

How it is calculated

It sums household income and divides by residents, adjusting values to the latest year.

How to interpret

Higher values indicate greater average real income but do not show how it is distributed.

Official source

Ipeadata - PNADS_PERCPOBRE830

Population below the poverty line

View series

Share of people below the international PPP$8.30-a-day poverty line.

How it is calculated

It compares household per-capita income with the line converted by purchasing power parity.

How to interpret

Declines indicate a smaller share of the population below the poverty line.

Official source

Ipeadata - PNADS_PERCPOBRE300

Population in extreme poverty

View series

Share of people below the international PPP$3.00-a-day extreme-poverty line.

How it is calculated

It compares household per-capita income with the extreme-poverty line converted by purchasing power parity.

How to interpret

It measures severe monetary deprivation; lower percentages are better.

Official source

Banco Central do Brasil - SGS 4513

Public-sector net debt

View series

Consolidated public-sector liabilities net of financial assets, as a share of GDP.

How it is calculated

It adds public liabilities and deducts financial assets recognized by the Central Bank methodology.

How to interpret

Higher percentages indicate greater net debt relative to the economy.

Official source

Banco Central do Brasil - SGS 13762

General government gross debt

View series

General-government gross liabilities as a share of GDP.

How it is calculated

It includes major debt instruments without deducting financial assets, using the methodology in force since 2008.

How to interpret

It helps measure the weight and evolution of gross public debt.

Official source

Banco Central do Brasil - SGS 5793

Public-sector primary balance

View series

Public-sector primary borrowing requirement accumulated over 12 months, as a share of GDP.

How it is calculated

The Central Bank calculates it before interest using the financing approach.

How to interpret

In this series, a positive value is a primary deficit and a negative value is a surplus.

Official source

Tesouro Nacional - RTN 10.01.1

Central government revenue

View series

Central-government total revenue accumulated over the latest 12 months.

How it is calculated

It sums 12 monthly Treasury values, adjusts them by IPCA to latest-month prices, and reports billions of reais.

How to interpret

It tracks real revenue while reducing monthly seasonality.

Official source

Tesouro Nacional - RTN 10.02.1

Central government transfers

View series

Revenue-sharing transfers accumulated over the latest 12 months.

How it is calculated

It sums 12 monthly values adjusted by IPCA and reports billions of reais.

How to interpret

It shows the real amount transferred mainly to states and municipalities.

Official source

Tesouro Nacional - RTN 10.03.1

Central government expenditure

View series

Central-government total expenditure accumulated over the latest 12 months.

How it is calculated

It sums 12 monthly Treasury values adjusted by IPCA to latest-month prices.

How to interpret

The real 12-month series makes the trend easier to see without monthly seasonality.

Official source

Receita Federal - Carga Tributária no Brasil 2024

Gross tax burden

View series

Gross tax revenue from federal, state, and municipal governments as a share of GDP.

How it is calculated

It divides consolidated gross tax revenue by nominal GDP for the same year.

How to interpret

It shows the share of generated income collected as taxes, not the quality of public spending.

Official source

Receita Federal - Gastos Tributários em Bases Efetivas

Tax expenditures

View series

Estimated revenue forgone through differentiated tax treatments.

How it is calculated

The tax authority estimates revenue under the reference system and compares it with the favored treatment.

How to interpret

Higher percentages indicate larger estimated tax benefits relative to the economy.

Official source